Dems Hold Leads in Exec. Council, NH Senate, NH House and Federal Races; Governor’s Race Deadlocked: Final 2026 UNH Poll

Democrats hold leads in the races for Executive Council, the State Senate, and State House and are generally more interested in the election. Affordability or inflation are the most important issues in the election to likely voters, according to the last election poll for 2026 by UNH Survey Center released Sunday night by Andrew Smith Ph.D..

With the election campaign nearly over, Democrat Chris Pappas continues to lead Republican John E. Sununu in the race for U.S. Senate in New Hampshire.

Incumbent Democrat Maggie Goodlander holds a comfortable lead over Republican nominee Lily Tang Williams in New Hampshire’s Second Congressional District, while Democrat Stefany Shaheen holds a lead over Republican Anthony DiLorenzo in CD1.

Incumbent Republican Governor Kelly Ayotte is statistically tied with Democrat Cinde Warmington, but Ayotte is the more personally popular of the two and most expect her to win re-election, according to the poll.

For complete press release and detailed tabular results, please click:

https://scholars.unh.edu/survey_center_polls/1011

These findings are based on the latest Granite State Poll, conducted by the University of New Hampshire Survey Center. Granite State Panel members were sent an invitation to complete the survey and 1,857 completed the survey online.

In addition, 325 New Hampshire residents completed the survey after receiving an invitation via text message to complete the survey. Overall, 2,182 New Hampshire residents completed the survey online between October 27 and October 31, 2026.

The margin of sampling error for the survey is +/- 2.1 percent. Included in the sample were 2,040 likely general election voters (margin of sampling error +/- 2.2 percent), 1,032 of whom reside in New Hampshire’s First Congressional District (MOE +/- 3.1 percent) and 1,005 of whom reside in New Hampshire’s Second Congressional District (MOE +/- 3.1 percent).

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